Okay, I'm going to make my official presidential prediction here.
There are basically three candidates left in the race. Ron Paul never had a chance, and Huckabee picked up a few headlines, but he also has no chance. That leaves us with McCain, Hillary and Obama.
Hillary's campaign appears to be cracking up. I don't think she's going to be able to pull it out. I kind of hope she does, because I think McCain may actually stand a chance against her, but I really don't see it happening.
Obama scares me more than Hillary. Hillary is an opportunistic political beast who will do or say whatever it takes to stay in power. This means that she may believe in leftists ideals, but she's more than willing to jump the aisle to keep herself in power, much like Bill did in the 90s with NAFTA and GAT, to name a couple of examples.
Obama is, from few examples you can find out there, a true a believer. He is as far left as Karl Rove is far right. Obama will not be making deals to stay in power, he'll be forcing his leftists, pacifist agenda through no matter what.
The scary part is that he is young, good looking and charismatic. People are flocking to him because of these three things. He spends virtually no time actually laying out an agenda, but people don't care about that. They care about "Hope" and "Change" without ever checking into what we may be changing to.
When it comes to the general election, you're going to have a young, charismatic, energetic speaker across the stage from the crotchety old fart who looks like he should be yelling, "You damn kids get off my lawn." No contest. It doesn't really matter what the politics are, McCain is going to lose. And lose big.
At this point I am pretty much resigned to the fact that Barack Obama is going to be our next president. When he comes to power he is also going to increase the Democrat majority in the House and Senate.
The best I can hope for at this point is that he is a Jimmy Carter and leaves office after a single term.
Just remember folks, you read it here first.
Labels: presidential politics